Premiership
The model predicts a home win for Motherwell with a 57% probability. Motherwell is seen as the stronger team overall and has been in better recent form, but Falkirk has historically performed well against them and has had more rest time before the match. The market odds imply a similar confidence in Motherwell's chances, with slightly less than 60% implied probability for a home win. The model also suggests there's a 56% chance both teams will score and a 56% chance of more than one goal being scored in the game, indicating an expectation of a lively match.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | Motherwell | 1 - 0 | May 2, 2026 |
| Motherwell | Falkirk | 2 - 3 | April 4, 2026 |
| Falkirk | Motherwell | 0 - 0 | December 3, 2025 |
| Motherwell | Falkirk | 1 - 2 | October 18, 2025 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | HJK helsinki | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Hibernian | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | HB | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | HB | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Genk | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Aarhus | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | ST Mirren | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Stranraer | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Alloa Athletic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Genk | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Ayr Utd | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Edinburgh City | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Motherwell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
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