NAC Breda vs MVV Friday 09th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

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NAC Breda View team ›

Oct. 9, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago

1 – 0

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MVV View team ›

New signing: Y. Liesdek joined MVV from AB Copenhagen on 24 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

NAC Breda MVV

NAC Breda D W W L L D

MVV L W L L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, NAC Breda have had the upper hand in matches between these two teams, often producing games with plenty of goals. The model predicts a home win with a 69% probability, reflecting NAC Breda's clear quality advantage and stronger recent form compared to MVV, who have been struggling defensively. The market odds also suggest a strong favor towards NAC Breda, though they are slightly less confident than the model's view. Additionally, the model sees a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, aligning with recent trends of high-scoring encounters between the sides and MVV's defensive issues.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
NAC Breda	MVV	1 - 2	March 29, 2024
MVV	NAC Breda	1 - 4	November 19, 2023
MVV	NAC Breda	1 - 4	May 27, 2023
NAC Breda	MVV	1 - 0	May 23, 2023
NAC Breda	MVV	4 - 1	March 10, 2023
MVV	NAC Breda	3 - 1	August 15, 2022

NAC Breda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Vitesse	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	FC Eindhoven	4 - 2	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	De Graafschap	1 - 2	Win
Sep 11, 26	Home	Jong Utrecht	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Waalwijk	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Roda	2 - 2	Draw

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	FC OSS	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Helmond Sport	2 - 0	Win
Sep 18, 26	Away	Waalwijk	6 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Almere City FC	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Roda	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Away	Jong AZ	1 - 2	Win

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	13	19	-6	16
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19	19	0	14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.79% likelihood that both NAC Breda and MVV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

NAC Breda to win

This prediction indicates that NAC Breda has a 69.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.84 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Den Bosch vs FC OSS 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

NAC Breda Form (Last 6 Matches)

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Eerste Divisie Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

NAC Breda to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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