Nairobi United vs KCB Friday 09th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Nairobi United logo Nairobi United View team ›
Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 11 hours ago
2 – 2
Full Time
KCB logo KCB View team ›

Match Analysis

Nairobi United KCB
Nairobi United W D D L W W
KCB W W L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Nairobi United and KCB both have moderate recent form and are closely matched in overall quality, making this an even contest. The model predicts a home win with a 47% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a 43% chance that neither team will score, aligning with the market's leaning toward fewer goals in this match. Overall, the prediction suggests a tight game with a narrow edge to the home side.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nairobi United KCB 1 - 1 March 4, 2026
KCB Nairobi United 0 - 2 January 15, 2026

Nairobi United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away GOR Mahia 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Police 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Posta Rangers FC 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Kariobangi Sharks 2 - 0 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Tusker 1 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Mathare United 1 - 2 Win

KCB Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Shabana 1 - 2 Win
May 27, 26 Away Sofapaka 1 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Posta Rangers FC 0 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Bandari 2 - 2 Draw
May 6, 26 Away APS Bomet 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Homeboyz 1 - 1 Draw

FKF Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 KCB 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Nairobi United to win
This prediction indicates that Nairobi United has a 47.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.95 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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