New Mexico United vs Atlante FC Thursday 02nd July 2026 04:30 AM football predictions.

New Mexico United Atlante FC

New Mexico United W D D W L W

Atlante FC L W W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	0 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Orange County SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	FC Juarez	2 - 0	Loss
Dec 23, 25	Away	Pachuca	0 - 4	Win
Dec 19, 25	Away	Santos Laguna	0 - 3	Win
Dec 23, 24	Home	Puebla	1 - 0	Win
Feb 2, 24	Home	Colorado Rapids	1 - 5	Loss
Jul 21, 23	Away	Forward Madison	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1287	New Mexico United	3	1	0	2	4	8	-4	3
1629	Atlante FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Atlante FC has a 46.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.52 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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