Newport City vs Newport County Wednesday 08th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Newport City Newport County

Newport City D

Newport County W W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Newport City Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 25	Away	Cardiff MET	1 - 1	Draw

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Barrow	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Oldham	3 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Cheltenham	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Harrogate Town	2 - 1	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Notts County	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Crawley Town	0 - 2	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Newport County	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Newport City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Newport County to win

This prediction indicates that Newport County has a 45.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.26 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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