Norwich vs Colchester Saturday 11th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Norwich Colchester

Norwich L D W W L W

Colchester W L L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Hull City	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Swansea	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Home	Derby	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Bristol City	2 - 4	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Ipswich	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Millwall	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Cheltenham	1 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Notts County	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Home	Accrington ST	2 - 1	Win
Apr 10, 26	Home	Swindon Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Tranmere	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Colchester has a 38.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.41 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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