Novi Pazar vs Akhmat Saturday 04th July 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Novi Pazar Akhmat

Novi Pazar L D W L D L

Akhmat W W D D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Novi Pazar	Akhmat	1 - 0	January 13, 2026
Novi Pazar	Akhmat	3 - 5	January 16, 2025

Novi Pazar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Vojvodina	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Železničar Pančevo	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	FK Crvena Zvezda	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Away	FK Partizan	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Cukaricki	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Away	Radnik Surdulica	2 - 0	Loss

Akhmat Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 29, 26	Home	Borac Banja Luka	3 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	OFK Beograd	3 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Makhachkala	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Nizhny Novgorod	2 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Zenit	2 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
31	Akhmat	9	6	1	2	18	7	+11	19
701	Novi Pazar	3	2	0	1	3	2	+1	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.65% likelihood that both Novi Pazar and Akhmat will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Akhmat to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Akhmat has a 38.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.08 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs