O Elvas vs União de Leiria Sunday 20th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

O Elvas

Sept. 20, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

União de Leiria

Match Analysis

O Elvas União de Leiria

O Elvas W D W L L W

União de Leiria W W W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

O Elvas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	São Roque (Açores)	9 - 0	Win
Sep 19, 25	Away	AD Marco 09	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 31, 25	Away	Lusitânia	0 - 3	Win
Jul 25, 25	Home	Pacos Ferreira	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 1, 25	Away	Lusitano Évora 1911	2 - 1	Loss
May 24, 25	Home	Fátima	2 - 1	Win

União de Leiria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	Portimonense	1 - 0	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Tondela	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Leixoes	2 - 4	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Benfica B	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Vizela	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Las Palmas	3 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.38% likelihood that both O Elvas and União de Leiria will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

O Elvas or União de Leiria to win

This prediction indicates that União de Leiria has a 40.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.61 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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