Oleksandria vs Chornomorets Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Oleksandria Chornomorets

Oleksandria L D D W L L

Chornomorets L L D D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chornomorets	Oleksandria	0 - 0	May 24, 2025
Oleksandria	Chornomorets	3 - 0	December 1, 2024
Oleksandria	Chornomorets	2 - 0	July 27, 2024
Chornomorets	Oleksandria	3 - 2	April 7, 2024
Oleksandria	Chornomorets	1 - 5	September 22, 2023
Oleksandria	Chornomorets	4 - 5	July 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	Livyi Bereh	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Livyi Bereh	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Kryvbas KR	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Ruh Lviv	1 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Zorya Luhansk	1 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Polessya	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 25	Away	Obolon'-Brovar	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 25	Away	Ruh Lviv	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 25	Home	Oleksandria	0 - 0	Draw
May 18, 25	Home	Dynamo Kyiv	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 25	Away	Vorskla Poltava	1 - 2	Win
May 3, 25	Home	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
106	Oleksandria	8	4	3	1	12	8	+4	15
1647	Chornomorets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Oleksandria will score 0 goals, and Chornomorets will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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