Oxford City vs Morecambe Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Oxford City

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Morecambe

Match Analysis

Oxford City Morecambe

Oxford City L W W L W D

Morecambe L W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Oxford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	AFC Telford United	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Chorley	4 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Worksop Town	0 - 1	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Buxton	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Spennymoor Town	1 - 4	Win
Aug 18, 26	Home	Harborough Town	1 - 1	Draw

Morecambe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Southport	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Buxton	4 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Chester	0 - 1	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	AFC Telford United	2 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Radcliffe	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Home	South Shields	0 - 1	Loss

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Oxford City	7	5	1	1	14	5	+9	16
10	Morecambe	7	3	1	3	9	6	+3	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.58% likelihood that both Oxford City and Morecambe will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Oxford City to win

This prediction indicates that Oxford City has a 53.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.31 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - North

Match Analysis

Oxford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Morecambe Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - North Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Oxford City to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - North

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