Pachuca vs Puebla Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Pachuca Puebla

Pachuca L W W W L L

Puebla L L L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Pachuca	Puebla	2 - 1	March 8, 2026
Puebla	Pachuca	2 - 2	September 24, 2025
Pachuca	Puebla	2 - 1	February 27, 2025
Puebla	Pachuca	2 - 3	September 21, 2024
Puebla	Pachuca	1 - 4	February 21, 2024
Pachuca	Puebla	1 - 1	October 29, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 18, 26	Away	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Toluca	2 - 0	Win
May 4, 26	Away	Toluca	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 23, 26	Away	Club Tijuana	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Club Queretaro	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Monterrey	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Guadalajara Chivas	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Leon	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Home	FC Juarez	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 22, 26	Away	Santos Laguna	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Puebla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Pachuca	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Pachuca has a 49.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.72 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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