Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oţelul Saturday 08th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Liga I

Petrolul Ploiesti

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

1 – 0

Full Time

Oţelul

Match Analysis

Petrolul Ploiesti Oţelul

Petrolul Ploiesti L L W D D L

Oţelul D D W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features Oţelul with a modest quality edge over Petrolul Ploiesti, whose recent form has been poor compared to Oţelul's moderate form. Recent meetings between these two teams have mostly ended in draws, and goals have generally been scarce. The model predicts an away win with a 39% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a 50% chance that neither team will score, aligning closely with the market's view on both teams to score, and a 45% chance of under 1.5 goals, indicating the model expects a low-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Petrolul Ploiesti	Oţelul	1 - 5	May 18, 2026
Petrolul Ploiesti	Oţelul	0 - 0	November 8, 2025
Oţelul	Petrolul Ploiesti	0 - 0	July 13, 2025
Petrolul Ploiesti	Oţelul	1 - 3	May 12, 2025
Oţelul	Petrolul Ploiesti	0 - 0	January 18, 2025
Petrolul Ploiesti	Oţelul	0 - 0	August 23, 2024

Petrolul Ploiesti Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	CS Universitatea Craiova	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Away	Arges Pitesti	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	Dinamo Bucuresti	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Chindia Targoviste	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	ASA Targu Mures	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Arka Gdynia	2 - 0	Loss

Oţelul Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Dinamo Bucuresti	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Away	Uta Arad	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	CFR 1907 Cluj	2 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	FC Bacau	3 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Farul Constanta	0 - 0	Draw
May 18, 26	Away	Petrolul Ploiesti	1 - 5	Win

Liga I Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Oţelul	3	1	2	0	5	4	+1	5
13	Petrolul Ploiesti	3	1	0	2	1	5	-4	3

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Petrolul Ploiesti or Oţelul to win

This prediction indicates that Oţelul has a 38.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.62 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Petrolul Ploiesti Form (Last 6 Matches)

Oţelul Form (Last 6 Matches)

Liga I Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Petrolul Ploiesti or Oţelul to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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