Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic Sunday 09th August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Sacramento Republic

Pittsburgh Riverhounds W L L D W W

Sacramento Republic D W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sacramento Republic	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 1	August 4, 2024
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Sacramento Republic	0 - 0	July 8, 2023
Sacramento Republic	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1 - 1	October 9, 2022

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Louisville City	3 - 1	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Brooklyn	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Miami FC	2 - 0	Win

Sacramento Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 9, 26	Home	Rhode Island	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	New Mexico United	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	San Antonio	2 - 1	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	15	7	2	6	19	18	+1	23
14	Sacramento Republic	14	5	5	4	16	14	+2	20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Pittsburgh Riverhounds has a 39.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.49 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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