Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Siedlce L L L L L W

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki L D D L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Pogoń Siedlce	0 - 2	April 19, 2026
Pogoń Siedlce	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1 - 2	October 4, 2025
Pogoń Siedlce	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1 - 3	February 17, 2024
Pogoń Siedlce	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	3 - 1	February 4, 2023
Pogoń Siedlce	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2 - 0	July 9, 2022
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Pogoń Siedlce	1 - 2	April 5, 2022

Pogoń Siedlce Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Unia Skierniewice	0 - 3	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	2 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Stal Mielec	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Stal Rzeszów	1 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	ŁKS Łódź	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Miedz Legnica	2 - 0	Win

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Wisla Plock	2 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Slask Wroclaw	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Tychy 71	0 - 0	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Odra Opole	3 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	ŁKS Łódź	3 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Wieczysta Kraków	1 - 4	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
362	Pogoń Siedlce	4	3	0	1	11	5	+6	9
722	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	7	1	3	3	9	12	-3	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.58% likelihood that both Pogoń Siedlce and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Pogoń Siedlce to win

This prediction indicates that Pogoń Siedlce has a 40.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.40 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs