Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Saturday 01st August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports

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Aug. 1, 2026 3 days, 8 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Ponferradina Real Avilés

Ponferradina L D W D W W

Real Avilés D D L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ponferradina	Real Avilés	3 - 1	May 9, 2026
Real Avilés	Ponferradina	0 - 3	August 31, 2025
Real Avilés	Ponferradina	0 - 0	August 2, 2023

Ponferradina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Celta de Vigo II	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Celta de Vigo II	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Atlético Madrid II	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Atlético Madrid II	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Athletic Club II	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Arenteiro	0 - 1	Win

Real Avilés Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Real Oviedo II	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Pontevedra	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Barakaldo	1 - 4	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Ponferradina	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Racing Ferrol	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Ponferradina to win

This prediction indicates that Ponferradina has a 55.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.20 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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