Prostějov vs Třinec Saturday 11th July 2026 11:30 AM football predictions.

Prostějov Třinec

Prostějov D L W D D L

Třinec W W D W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Třinec	Prostějov	2 - 2	August 26, 2025
Prostějov	Třinec	1 - 2	February 7, 2024
Prostějov	Třinec	3 - 0	February 25, 2023
Třinec	Prostějov	2 - 2	November 12, 2022
Prostějov	Třinec	1 - 1	August 6, 2022
Třinec	Prostějov	4 - 0	March 19, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Opava	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 23, 26	Away	Zbrojovka Brno	4 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Táborsko	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Příbram	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	České Budějovice	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Sparta Praha II	5 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 21, 26	Away	Púchov	1 - 2	Win
Feb 11, 26	Home	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	4 - 0	Win
Jan 30, 26	Away	Líšeň	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 20, 26	Home	Karviná II	2 - 0	Win
Oct 1, 25	Home	Hradec Králové	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 26, 25	Home	Prostějov	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
257	Třinec	4	3	1	0	8	1	+7	10
588	Prostějov	8	2	1	5	10	17	-7	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Třinec has a 65.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.88 %

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