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Primera Nacional

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
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Match Analysis

Racing Cordoba San Miguel
Racing Cordoba L W L W D L
San Miguel L D L D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a draw between Racing Cordoba and San Miguel with a 35% probability. Despite San Miguel having a modest quality edge, Racing Cordoba's moderate recent form contrasts with San Miguel's poor recent form. Additionally, past meetings between the two teams have usually been tight and low-scoring, suggesting a draw is plausible. The model also sees a 46% chance that neither team will score, aligning with the tendency of their recent encounters to produce few goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Miguel Racing Cordoba 1 - 2 March 21, 2026
San Miguel Racing Cordoba 1 - 0 August 17, 2025
Racing Cordoba San Miguel 1 - 1 April 13, 2025
Racing Cordoba San Miguel 1 - 0 September 8, 2024
San Miguel Racing Cordoba 2 - 0 April 21, 2024

Racing Cordoba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Almirante Brown 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home San Telmo 2 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Acassuso 3 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away CA Estudiantes 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away San Telmo 2 - 0 Loss

San Miguel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away San Telmo 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Acassuso 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Central Norte 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Acassuso 0 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Deportivo Madryn 2 - 2 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
24 Racing Cordoba 23 7 6 10 22 28 -6 27
25 San Miguel 22 5 11 6 17 22 -5 26

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Racing Cordoba will score 0 goals, and San Miguel will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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