Raków Częstochowa vs Puszcza Niepołomice Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Raków Częstochowa Puszcza Niepołomice

Raków Częstochowa L W W L W W

Puszcza Niepołomice W L L W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Puszcza Niepołomice	Raków Częstochowa	1 - 1	April 7, 2025
Raków Częstochowa	Puszcza Niepołomice	2 - 0	September 28, 2024
Raków Częstochowa	Puszcza Niepołomice	1 - 1	July 3, 2024
Puszcza Niepołomice	Raków Częstochowa	1 - 1	March 9, 2024
Raków Częstochowa	Puszcza Niepołomice	2 - 0	September 3, 2023
Raków Częstochowa	Puszcza Niepołomice	4 - 0	June 27, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Piast Gliwice	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Arka Gdynia	3 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Piast Gliwice	1 - 3	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Jagiellonia	0 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Korona Kielce	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Lechia Gdansk	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Star Starachowice	3 - 0	Win
Jun 24, 26	Away	Gornik Zabrze	3 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Miedz Legnica	2 - 1	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	ŁKS Łódź	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Stal Mielec	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Znicz Pruszków	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
189	Raków Częstochowa	7	3	3	1	14	9	+5	12
227	Puszcza Niepołomice	7	3	2	2	14	11	+3	11

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Raków Częstochowa has a 55.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.90 %

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