Redcar Athletic vs Hartlepool Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Redcar Athletic Hartlepool

Redcar Athletic L W D W L W

Hartlepool L W W L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Redcar Athletic	Hartlepool	1 - 5	July 25, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 25	Away	Pickering Town	5 - 2	Loss
Aug 20, 25	Home	Guisborough Town	1 - 0	Win
Aug 16, 25	Away	Guisborough Town	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Home	North Ferriby	2 - 0	Win
Aug 17, 24	Away	Pontefract Collieries	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 24	Away	Consett	2 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Boston United	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Home	Southend	4 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Forest Green	2 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Boreham Wood	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Rochdale	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	Scunthorpe	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Hartlepool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Redcar Athletic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Hartlepool has a 38.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.43 %

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