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USL Championship

July 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Rhode Island Hartford Athletic
Rhode Island W L W D L W
Hartford Athletic D W D L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hartford Athletic Rhode Island 3 - 0 August 23, 2025
Rhode Island Hartford Athletic 0 - 0 July 19, 2025
Rhode Island Hartford Athletic 3 - 0 August 10, 2024
Hartford Athletic Rhode Island 1 - 1 June 1, 2024

Rhode Island Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Loudoun United 1 - 4 Win
May 30, 26 Away Indy Eleven 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Brooklyn 4 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Birmingham Legion 1 - 3 Loss
Apr 22, 26 Home Charleston Battery 4 - 0 Win

Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home New Mexico United 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Away FC Tulsa 2 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Detroit City 2 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Loudoun United 0 - 0 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Hartford Athletic 12 4 6 2 10 10 0 18
18 Rhode Island 11 4 3 4 21 15 +6 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Rhode Island will score 0 goals, and Hartford Athletic will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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