Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia II Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Rilski Sportist CSKA Sofia II

Rilski Sportist L

CSKA Sofia II W D W W L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 10, 24	Away	Marek	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 30, 26	Away	Pirin Blagoevgrad	0 - 1	Win
Jan 24, 26	Away	Belasitsa	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 21, 26	Away	Vihren	0 - 2	Win
Jan 17, 26	Away	FK Minyor Pernik	0 - 1	Win
Jan 29, 25	Away	Cherno More Varna	4 - 1	Loss
Jan 21, 23	Away	Botev Plovdiv II	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
281	CSKA Sofia II	4	3	1	0	4	0	+4	10
1629	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia II has a 46.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.80 %

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