Roda vs Jong PSV Friday 09th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Roda logo Roda View team ›
Oct. 9, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago
1 – 1
Full Time
Jong PSV logo Jong PSV View team ›

Match Analysis

Roda Jong PSV
Roda L W D W D D
Jong PSV L D L W D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Roda with a 56% probability. Roda is seen as the stronger team and has been in better recent form compared to Jong PSV, who have struggled lately. The model also expects both teams to score, with a 61% probability, and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, each at 64% probability. The market odds reflect moderate confidence in Roda’s favor, but they show slightly less confidence in the over/under and both teams to score outcomes compared to the model’s predictions.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Roda Jong PSV 0 - 2 March 6, 2026
Jong PSV Roda 0 - 1 September 15, 2025
Jong PSV Roda 1 - 1 July 18, 2025
Roda Jong PSV 2 - 1 March 7, 2025
Jong PSV Roda 2 - 3 December 9, 2024
Jong PSV Roda 0 - 1 August 2, 2024

Roda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Away VVV Venlo 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 26, 26 Home Waalwijk 2 - 0 Win
Sep 18, 26 Away Jong Ajax 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home Vitesse 1 - 0 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away MVV 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Home NAC Breda 2 - 2 Draw

Jong PSV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Away Vitesse 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 14, 26 Home Jong AZ 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 11, 26 Away Helmond Sport 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 7, 26 Home Den Bosch 3 - 1 Win
Aug 31, 26 Home Jong Ajax 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Away Waalwijk 2 - 2 Draw

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9 7 +2 15
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14 16 -2 12

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that both Roda and Jong PSV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Roda to win
This prediction indicates that Roda has a 56.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.28 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Den Bosch vs FC OSS 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

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