Rot-weiss Erfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 II Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Rot-weiss Erfurt FSV Mainz 05 II

Rot-weiss Erfurt W W L W W W

FSV Mainz 05 II D W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rot-weiss Erfurt	FSV Mainz 05 II	0 - 0	March 25, 2017
FSV Mainz 05 II	Rot-weiss Erfurt	1 - 1	October 2, 2016
FSV Mainz 05 II	Rot-weiss Erfurt	1 - 0	March 2, 2016
Rot-weiss Erfurt	FSV Mainz 05 II	3 - 0	September 19, 2015
FSV Mainz 05 II	Rot-weiss Erfurt	3 - 1	April 4, 2015
Rot-weiss Erfurt	FSV Mainz 05 II	1 - 0	September 27, 2014

Rot-weiss Erfurt Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 1, 26	Home	FC Schweinfurt 05	5 - 3	Win
Jan 25, 26	Away	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	0 - 2	Win
Jan 24, 26	Home	Hessen Kassel	1 - 3	Loss
Jan 17, 26	Away	Heiligenstadt	2 - 4	Win
Jul 19, 25	Home	Eintracht Braunschweig	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 25	Home	Nürnberg II	1 - 0	Win

FSV Mainz 05 II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 14, 26	Home	FC Astoria Walldorf	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 11, 26	Home	Darmstadt 98 II	6 - 0	Win
Feb 7, 26	Away	Kickers Offenbach	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Home	TuS Koblenz	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 24, 26	Home	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	5 - 1	Win
Jan 17, 26	Home	Mechtersheim	3 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
216	FSV Mainz 05 II	6	3	2	1	15	5	+10	11
378	Rot-weiss Erfurt	4	3	0	1	12	8	+4	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.43% likelihood that both Rot-weiss Erfurt and FSV Mainz 05 II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FSV Mainz 05 II to win

This prediction indicates that FSV Mainz 05 II has a 50.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.84 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 76.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 71.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs