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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Rotor Volgograd Chelyabinsk
Rotor Volgograd L W W L L W
Chelyabinsk W L L W D D
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Rotor Volgograd and Chelyabinsk are in moderate recent form, but Rotor has a modest quality edge. The model predicts a home win with a 49% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also sees a 50% chance that both teams will score and a 57% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match, indicating an expectation of a game with a few goals but not necessarily a high-scoring one.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rotor Volgograd Chelyabinsk 0 - 2 November 24, 2025
Chelyabinsk Rotor Volgograd 1 - 0 July 26, 2025

Rotor Volgograd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away Veles 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Away KAMAZ 0 - 2 Win
Jul 20, 26 Home Ska-khabarovsk 1 - 0 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Nizhny Novgorod 4 - 2 Loss
Jul 6, 26 Home Akron 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home FC UFA 1 - 0 Win

Chelyabinsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Volga Ulyanovsk 0 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Nizhny Novgorod 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Away Veles 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 13, 26 Home Ska-khabarovsk 3 - 1 Win
Jul 6, 26 Home Torpedo Miass 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Ural 1 - 1 Draw

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Chelyabinsk 4 2 0 2 6 4 +2 6
11 Rotor Volgograd 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Rotor Volgograd to win
This prediction indicates that Rotor Volgograd has a 49.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.62 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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