Rubin vs FC Orenburg Friday 03rd July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Rubin FC Orenburg

Rubin D D L W D W

FC Orenburg L L W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Orenburg	Rubin	1 - 0	February 20, 2026
FC Orenburg	Rubin	0 - 0	September 16, 2025
FC Orenburg	Rubin	2 - 2	August 30, 2025
Rubin	FC Orenburg	2 - 0	July 31, 2025
Rubin	FC Orenburg	4 - 2	May 24, 2025
FC Orenburg	Rubin	3 - 5	February 22, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	KAMAZ	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Nizhny Novgorod	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Baltika	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	CSKA Moscow	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Away	Dynamo	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 4, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	Loss
Feb 20, 26	Home	Rubin	1 - 0	Win
Feb 13, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 13, 26	Home	Alashkert	2 - 1	Win
Feb 6, 26	Home	Bunyodkor	5 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
66	Rubin	7	5	1	1	12	3	+9	16
91	FC Orenburg	7	5	0	2	13	5	+8	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Rubin has a 42.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.84 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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