San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin S.J. Saturday 08th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Primera Nacional

San Martin Tucuman

Aug. 10, 2026

1 – 1

Full Time

San Martin S.J.

Match Analysis

San Martin Tucuman San Martin S.J.

San Martin Tucuman L L D W W D

San Martin S.J. D L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, with both showing moderate recent form and similar rest before the match. Historically, San Martin Tucuman has dominated recent meetings, but those games have usually seen few goals. The model predicts a home win with a 39% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model strongly favors the match finishing under 2.5 goals, giving it a 72% chance—a view notably more confident than the market odds suggest.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Martin S.J.	San Martin Tucuman	1 - 1	March 21, 2026
San Martin Tucuman	San Martin S.J.	1 - 0	August 31, 2024
San Martin S.J.	San Martin Tucuman	0 - 0	April 14, 2024
San Martin S.J.	San Martin Tucuman	0 - 0	August 22, 2023
San Martin Tucuman	San Martin S.J.	4 - 1	April 9, 2023
San Martin S.J.	San Martin Tucuman	0 - 2	July 28, 2022

San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Nueva Chicago	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Temperley	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Deportivo Maipu	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Almagro	3 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Patronato	0 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Temperley	1 - 1	Draw

San Martin S.J. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Atletico DE Rafaela	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Agropecuario	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Club Atlético Güemes	0 - 2	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	Chacarita Juniors	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Agropecuario	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Gimnasia Jujuy	2 - 1	Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	San Martin Tucuman	23	7	9	7	21	19	+2	30
23	San Martin S.J.	21	7	6	8	22	22	0	27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

San Martin Tucuman to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that San Martin Tucuman has a 38.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.25 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 71.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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