Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine Thursday 30th July 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sarasota Paradise Portland Hearts of Pine

Sarasota Paradise W L L W L

Portland Hearts of Pine L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Portland Hearts of Pine	Sarasota Paradise	1 - 2	July 26, 2026

Sarasota Paradise Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Portland Hearts of Pine	1 - 2	Win
Feb 22, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1 - 0	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Away	Rhode Island	2 - 1	Loss
Jan 21, 26	Away	New York Red Bulls	1 - 3	Win
Jan 17, 26	Away	New England Revolution	6 - 0	Loss

Portland Hearts of Pine Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Sarasota Paradise	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 1, 25	Away	Hartford Athletic	4 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.72% likelihood that both Sarasota Paradise and Portland Hearts of Pine will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Sarasota Paradise to win

This prediction indicates that Sarasota Paradise has a 50.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.61 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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