Selsey vs Worthing Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Selsey Worthing

Selsey L L L L L L

Worthing W L W W W D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 24	Home	Havant & Wville	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 11, 23	Home	Horndean	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 10, 19	Away	Tower Hamlets	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 15	Home	Erith Town	1 - 5	Loss
Aug 16, 14	Home	Fisher	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 17, 13	Away	Alton Town	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	2 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Maidstone Utd	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Dagenham & Redbridge	7 - 2	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Dorking Wanderers	1 - 2	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Eastbourne Borough	2 - 1	Win
Mar 28, 26	Away	Enfield Town	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Worthing	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Selsey	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.87% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Worthing has a 62.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.26 %

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