First League
Match Analysis
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
D
W
W
L
W
W
CSKA Sofia
D
D
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | 2 - 0 | February 28, 2026 |
| CSKA Sofia | Septemvri Sofia | 4 - 0 | October 11, 2025 |
| CSKA Sofia | Septemvri Sofia | 3 - 1 | September 13, 2025 |
| Septemvri Sofia | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 1 | March 29, 2025 |
| CSKA Sofia | Septemvri Sofia | 0 - 1 | October 5, 2024 |
| CSKA Sofia | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 0 | February 10, 2024 |
Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Ludogorets | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Hebar 1918 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Vihren | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Marek | 3 - 0 | Win |
CSKA Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Qarabag | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Slavia Sofia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Derry City | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Derry City | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Marek | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Odra Opole | 2 - 3 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.CSKA Sofia to win
This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 61.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.61 %Most Likely Scorelines
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