Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Saturday 08th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Septemvri Sofia

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

0 – 3

Full Time

CSKA Sofia

Match Analysis

Septemvri Sofia CSKA Sofia

Septemvri Sofia L L D W W L

CSKA Sofia W W D W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for CSKA Sofia with a 50% probability, suggesting that while it's a close call, the factors lean slightly towards CSKA. The market odds also reflect this view, showing a stronger favor towards CSKA Sofia. The model also predicts that both teams will score (51% probability) and that there will be over 1.5 goals (54% probability), noting that the odds imply a similar expectation for these outcomes. However, the model expects fewer than 2.5 goals (47% probability over), which is slightly less confident than what the market odds suggest.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Septemvri Sofia	CSKA Sofia	2 - 0	February 28, 2026
CSKA Sofia	Septemvri Sofia	4 - 0	October 11, 2025
CSKA Sofia	Septemvri Sofia	3 - 1	September 13, 2025
Septemvri Sofia	CSKA Sofia	0 - 1	March 29, 2025
CSKA Sofia	Septemvri Sofia	0 - 1	October 5, 2024
CSKA Sofia	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 0	February 10, 2024

Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	Ludogorets	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Hebar 1918	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Slavia Sofia	2 - 3	Loss

CSKA Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 6, 26	Away	Maccabi Tel Aviv	0 - 3	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	Dunav Ruse	2 - 1	Win
Jul 30, 26	Home	Qarabag	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 27, 26	Home	Botev Plovdiv	3 - 2	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Qarabag	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Away	Slavia Sofia	0 - 0	Draw

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	CSKA Sofia	3	2	1	0	5	3	+2	7
12	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

CSKA Sofia to win

This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 49.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.10 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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