Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets Friday 10th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Septemvri Sofia Ludogorets

Septemvri Sofia W W D W W D

Ludogorets W D W L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Septemvri Sofia	Ludogorets	0 - 2	November 23, 2025
Ludogorets	Septemvri Sofia	5 - 0	July 19, 2025
Ludogorets	Septemvri Sofia	0 - 0	March 3, 2025
Septemvri Sofia	Ludogorets	0 - 2	October 20, 2024
Ludogorets	Septemvri Sofia	3 - 1	October 30, 2022
Septemvri Sofia	Ludogorets	0 - 3	July 8, 2022

Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Marek	3 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Yantra 2019	2 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Dobrudzha	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Away	Beroe	0 - 1	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Spartak Varna	1 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	1 - 1	Draw

Ludogorets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	7 - 4	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0 - 0	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	CSKA Sofia	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	CSKA 1948	1 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Levski Sofia	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	0 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
269	Ludogorets	4	3	1	0	15	10	+5	10
731	Septemvri Sofia	6	2	0	4	6	11	-5	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.55% likelihood that both Septemvri Sofia and Ludogorets will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ludogorets to win

This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 59.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.26 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs