SGV Freiberg vs Hoffenheim II Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

SGV Freiberg Hoffenheim II

SGV Freiberg L D W W W W

Hoffenheim II L W L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

SGV Freiberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 14, 26	Away	VfR Mannheim	6 - 4	Loss
Jan 29, 26	Away	Bayern München II	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 24, 26	Away	VfR Aalen	1 - 3	Win
Jan 17, 26	Away	Bissingen	2 - 7	Win
Jul 23, 25	Home	Stuttgart II	5 - 1	Win
Jul 20, 25	Home	Augsburg II	3 - 0	Win

Hoffenheim II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	SV Wehen	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	FC Saarbrücken	3 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Jahn Regensburg	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	FC Ingolstadt 04	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	MSV Duisburg	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 10, 26	Home	FC Schweinfurt 05	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
493	SGV Freiberg	4	2	1	1	14	9	+5	7
1629	Hoffenheim II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.11% likelihood that both SGV Freiberg and Hoffenheim II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

SGV Freiberg or Hoffenheim II to win

This prediction indicates that SGV Freiberg has a 41.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.87 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 78.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs