Southport vs Spennymoor Town Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Southport

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Spennymoor Town

Match Analysis

Southport Spennymoor Town

Southport W L L L W D

Spennymoor Town L L D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Southport	Spennymoor Town	2 - 0	March 10, 2026
Spennymoor Town	Southport	2 - 0	October 4, 2025
Southport	Spennymoor Town	1 - 4	January 28, 2025
Spennymoor Town	Southport	2 - 0	August 20, 2024
Southport	Spennymoor Town	1 - 2	February 6, 2024
Spennymoor Town	Southport	5 - 1	August 15, 2023

Southport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Morecambe	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Spalding United	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Hereford	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Scarborough Athletic	5 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Bedford Town	4 - 1	Win
Aug 18, 26	Away	Hednesford Town	2 - 2	Draw

Spennymoor Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Spalding United	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Hereford	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Hednesford Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Bedford Town	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Away	Scarborough Athletic	3 - 0	Loss

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
22	Southport	7	1	2	4	9	15	-6	5
23	Spennymoor Town	7	1	2	4	7	15	-8	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that both Southport and Spennymoor Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Southport to win

This prediction indicates that Southport has a 47.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.79 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - North

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Southport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Spennymoor Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - North Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Southport to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - North

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