Spartak Moscow vs Spartak Kostroma Thursday 02nd July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Spartak Moscow Spartak Kostroma

Spartak Moscow D D W W L W

Spartak Kostroma D D L D L D

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Spartak Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	FC Krasnodar	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Makhachkala	0 - 0	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Rubin	2 - 1	Win
May 6, 26	Home	CSKA Moscow	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 2	Win

Spartak Kostroma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	FC UFA	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	FK Sokol Saratov	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Away	KAMAZ	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
89	Spartak Kostroma	9	4	3	2	16	8	+8	15
134	Spartak Moscow	5	4	1	0	11	4	+7	13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.07% likelihood that both Spartak Moscow and Spartak Kostroma will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Spartak Moscow to win

This prediction indicates that Spartak Moscow has a 50.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.67 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs