USL Championship
Match Analysis
Sporting JAX
Lexington
Sporting JAX
L
L
L
D
W
L
Lexington
L
W
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Sacramento Republic | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | El Paso Locomotive | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Brooklyn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Austin | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Lexington Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Sacramento Republic | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Phoenix Rising | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | FC Tulsa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | New Mexico United | 1 - 4 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lexington | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 23 | +5 | 28 |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.06% likelihood that both Sporting JAX and Lexington will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Lexington to win
This prediction indicates that Lexington has a 54.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.78 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising
an hour ago · 6 a.m.
›
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa
2 hours ago · 5 a.m.
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Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
3 hours ago · 4 a.m.
›
Loudoun United vs New Mexico United
5 hours ago · 1:30 a.m.
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Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX
4 hours ago · 3 a.m.
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San Antonio vs Oakland Roots
3 hours ago · 4 a.m.
›
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