Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv Mezdra Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Sportist Svoge Lokomotiv Mezdra

Sportist Svoge L L W D W L

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	CSKA Sofia II	2 - 1	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Away	Vihren	3 - 1	Loss
Jan 30, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Sofia	1 - 0	Win
Jan 28, 26	Home	Marek	3 - 3	Draw
Jan 24, 26	Home	Botev Ihtiman	5 - 3	Win
Jan 21, 26	Home	Hebar 1918	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
569	Sportist Svoge	6	2	1	3	12	13	-1	7
1647	Lokomotiv Mezdra	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Lokomotiv Mezdra has a 42.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.31 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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