Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis Tuesday 22nd September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

KNVB Beker

Sportlust '46

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Excelsior Maassluis

Match Analysis

Sportlust '46 Excelsior Maassluis

Sportlust '46 W L D W W W

Excelsior Maassluis D W W L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sportlust '46	Excelsior Maassluis	0 - 1	August 6, 2024
Excelsior Maassluis	Sportlust '46	2 - 0	August 8, 2023
Sportlust '46	Excelsior Maassluis	3 - 1	August 3, 2021

Sportlust '46 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Home	Blauw Geel	3 - 1	Win
Dec 18, 25	Home	De Treffers	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 30, 25	Home	Barendrecht	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 23, 25	Away	UDI '19	0 - 1	Win
Sep 3, 25	Home	Sportclub 25	4 - 1	Win
Aug 5, 25	Away	Katwijk	2 - 3	Win

Excelsior Maassluis Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 26	Away	ADO '20	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Sparta Rotterdam II	4 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	TOGB	3 - 0	Win
Dec 17, 25	Home	Ajax	2 - 7	Loss
Oct 29, 25	Home	Excelsior	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 23, 25	Away	HZVV	1 - 5	Win

Predictions

Sportlust '46 or Excelsior Maassluis to win

This prediction indicates that Sportlust '46 has a 40.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.19 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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