SpVgg Unterhaching vs Holzkirchen Sunday 12th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

SpVgg Unterhaching Holzkirchen

SpVgg Unterhaching D W L L W L

Holzkirchen L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

SpVgg Unterhaching Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 13, 26	Away	Austria Lustenau	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 11, 26	Away	Heimstetten	1 - 5	Win
Feb 4, 26	Home	Wacker Innsbruck	2 - 3	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Stuttgarter Kickers	3 - 2	Loss
Jan 27, 26	Home	TuS Geretsried	2 - 1	Win
Jan 23, 26	Away	Sturm Graz II	4 - 1	Loss

Holzkirchen Form (Last 2 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 2, 22	Away	Heimstetten	9 - 1	Loss
Jan 22, 22	Away	1860 Rosenheim	3 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
545	SpVgg Unterhaching	6	2	1	3	12	12	0	7
1629	Holzkirchen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.89% likelihood that both SpVgg Unterhaching and Holzkirchen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

SpVgg Unterhaching to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that SpVgg Unterhaching has a 41.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.86 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs