SpVgg Unterhaching vs Sportfreunde Schwaig Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

SpVgg Unterhaching Sportfreunde Schwaig

SpVgg Unterhaching D W L L W L

Sportfreunde Schwaig L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

SpVgg Unterhaching Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 13, 26	Away	Austria Lustenau	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 11, 26	Away	Heimstetten	1 - 5	Win
Feb 4, 26	Home	Wacker Innsbruck	2 - 3	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Stuttgarter Kickers	3 - 2	Loss
Jan 27, 26	Home	TuS Geretsried	2 - 1	Win
Jan 23, 26	Away	Sturm Graz II	4 - 1	Loss

Sportfreunde Schwaig Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Buchbach	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 21, 26	Away	Buchbach	0 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 25	Home	Buchbach	2 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
545	SpVgg Unterhaching	6	2	1	3	12	12	0	7
1204	Sportfreunde Schwaig	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3

Predictions

Sportfreunde Schwaig to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Sportfreunde Schwaig has a 38.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.86 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs