SV Babelsberg 03 vs FC St. Pauli Saturday 11th July 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

SV Babelsberg 03 FC St. Pauli

SV Babelsberg 03 L D W D L W

FC St. Pauli L L L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 23, 26	Away	Hertha BSC II	4 - 0	Loss
Jan 18, 26	Home	Schöningen	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 17, 26	Home	VfL Halle	6 - 0	Win
Nov 18, 25	Away	MSV Neuruppin	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 25	Away	Hannover 96 II	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 9, 25	Away	RSV Eintracht	1 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	RB Leipzig	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	FC Heidenheim	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	1.FC Köln	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Bayern München	0 - 5	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
813	SV Babelsberg 03	3	1	1	1	8	6	+2	4
1483	FC St. Pauli	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC St. Pauli has a 37.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.22 %

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