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USL Championship

Sept. 6, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies Brooklyn
Tampa Bay Rowdies W W W W D L
Brooklyn L L L D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Brooklyn Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 2 June 20, 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Rhode Island 2 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Orange County SC 0 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Louisville City 5 - 4 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Miami FC 2 - 3 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Loudoun United 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Lexington 1 - 4 Loss

Brooklyn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Las Vegas Lights 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Charleston Battery 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home San Antonio 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Sporting JAX 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 2 Win
Jun 20, 26 Home Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 2 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 20 13 5 2 38 19 +19 44
24 Brooklyn 18 3 4 11 18 34 -16 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that both Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 69.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.71 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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