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J3 League

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
3 – 2
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Match Analysis

Tochigi SC Kanazawa
Tochigi SC D D D L D L
Kanazawa L W L W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Tochigi SC have been in poor recent form, whereas Kanazawa have shown moderate form recently. Despite Kanazawa's dominance in past meetings and the teams being closely matched overall, Tochigi SC's upcoming match comes after a rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model leans toward an under 1.5 goals outcome, aligning with the typical low-scoring nature of recent encounters between these sides, and this view is also more confident than what the current odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kanazawa Tochigi SC 2 - 0 November 16, 2025
Tochigi SC Kanazawa 0 - 1 April 20, 2025
Kanazawa Tochigi SC 0 - 1 July 1, 2023
Tochigi SC Kanazawa 4 - 0 May 3, 2023
Kanazawa Tochigi SC 0 - 0 October 23, 2022
Tochigi SC Kanazawa 0 - 2 April 3, 2022

Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Kitakyushu 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Parceiro Nagano 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Yokohama FC 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Blaublitz Akita 0 - 0 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Vegalta Sendai 2 - 1 Loss

Kanazawa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Home Gamba Osaka 0 - 6 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Thespakusatsu Gunma 4 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Home Gainare Tottori 1 - 3 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Kochi United 2 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Osaka 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Draw

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Kanazawa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Tochigi SC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.73% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Tochigi SC to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi SC has a 46.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.48 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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