Trans Narva vs Kuressaare Wednesday 14th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Match Analysis

Trans Narva Kuressaare
Trans Narva D D L D L L
Kuressaare W D L L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two teams are seen as closely matched in overall quality, but Trans Narva's poor recent form contrasts with Kuressaare's moderate form. The model predicts a home win with a 45% chance, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Recent meetings between these sides have often been high-scoring and ended level, and both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities recently, supporting the likelihood of goals. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kuressaare Trans Narva 3 - 1 September 5, 2026
Kuressaare Trans Narva 0 - 0 June 16, 2026
Trans Narva Kuressaare 1 - 2 April 18, 2026
Kuressaare Trans Narva 2 - 2 February 21, 2026
Kuressaare Trans Narva 0 - 0 September 20, 2025
Trans Narva Kuressaare 3 - 2 July 5, 2025

Trans Narva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Away Vaprus 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 20, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 8, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Away Kuressaare 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Tammeka 0 - 2 Loss

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 11, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 2 - 0 Win
Sep 18, 26 Away Laagri 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 13, 26 Home Tammeka 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 9, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 4 - 0 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Trans Narva 3 - 1 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home Vaprus 2 - 2 Draw

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Kuressaare 30 7 5 18 31 51 -20 26
10 Trans Narva 30 5 5 20 24 67 -43 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.67% likelihood that both Trans Narva and Kuressaare will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Trans Narva to win
This prediction indicates that Trans Narva has a 44.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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