Meistriliiga
View league ›The model sees Paide as the stronger side, with a clear quality gap in their favor, though both teams are in moderate recent form and have similar rest heading into the match. Despite Paide's historical dominance in recent meetings, those games have usually seen few goals, which aligns with the model's view that over 1.5 goals is likely (55% probability). The market odds also suggest that over 1.5 goals is a near-certainty, and the model's confidence is even higher. Overall, the model predicts a home win with a 55% chance, slightly more confident than what the current odds imply.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tammeka | Paide | 0 - 2 | September 9, 2026 |
| Paide | Tammeka | 0 - 1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Tammeka | Paide | 1 - 4 | April 12, 2026 |
| Paide | Tammeka | 5 - 0 | October 18, 2025 |
| Tammeka | Paide | 0 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Tammeka | Paide | 0 - 2 | June 28, 2025 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Away | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Nõmme United | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Vaprus | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Laagri | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Tammeka | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Home | Nõmme United | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Kuressaare | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Paide | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Laagri | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tammeka | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 41 | +6 | 53 |
| 4 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | +11 | 51 |
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