Paide vs Tammeka Wednesday 14th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 14, 2026 12 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Paide Tammeka
Paide L W W L W L
Tammeka W L W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees Paide as the stronger side, with a clear quality gap in their favor, though both teams are in moderate recent form and have similar rest heading into the match. Despite Paide's historical dominance in recent meetings, those games have usually seen few goals, which aligns with the model's view that over 1.5 goals is likely (55% probability). The market odds also suggest that over 1.5 goals is a near-certainty, and the model's confidence is even higher. Overall, the model predicts a home win with a 55% chance, slightly more confident than what the current odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tammeka Paide 0 - 2 September 9, 2026
Paide Tammeka 0 - 1 May 1, 2026
Tammeka Paide 1 - 4 April 12, 2026
Paide Tammeka 5 - 0 October 18, 2025
Tammeka Paide 0 - 1 August 23, 2025
Tammeka Paide 0 - 2 June 28, 2025

Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 11, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Away Nõmme United 1 - 3 Win
Sep 16, 26 Home Vaprus 2 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 26 Home Laagri 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 9, 26 Away Tammeka 0 - 2 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 0 - 2 Loss

Tammeka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Nõmme United 4 - 0 Win
Sep 20, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 17, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 6 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away Kuressaare 1 - 3 Win
Sep 9, 26 Home Paide 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Away Laagri 0 - 2 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Tammeka 30 17 2 11 47 41 +6 53
4 Paide 30 15 6 9 48 37 +11 51

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.47% likelihood that both Paide and Tammeka will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 54.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.85 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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