Turku PS vs FF Jaro Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 14 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Turku PS FF Jaro
Turku PS L L D D D W
FF Jaro D D L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Turku PS with a 45% probability, suggesting the team is favored due to a clear quality gap. Despite both teams showing poor recent form and similar rest periods, Turku PS has historically dominated this matchup. The model also sees a high chance (53%) that both teams will score, and leans toward more than one goal (54% over), aligning with FF Jaro's recent defensive struggles even as they have created more shooting chances. The market odds imply slightly less confidence in a home win and in the over/under outcomes than the model does.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Turku PS FF Jaro 3 - 2 June 27, 2026
FF Jaro Turku PS 2 - 2 May 2, 2026
Turku PS FF Jaro 3 - 0 October 3, 2024
FF Jaro Turku PS 0 - 1 June 2, 2024
Turku PS FF Jaro 0 - 2 April 13, 2024
Turku PS FF Jaro 4 - 0 July 14, 2023

Turku PS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Home Ilves 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Mariehamn 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 8, 26 Home SJK 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 31, 26 Away Gnistan 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Home Inter Turku 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Away VPS 1 - 3 Win

FF Jaro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 18, 26 Away Lahti 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home SJK 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 8, 26 Away Ilves 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 31, 26 Away Mariehamn 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home AC Oulu 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away HJK helsinki 3 - 0 Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Turku PS 25 8 8 9 28 27 +1 32
12 FF Jaro 25 3 8 14 20 48 -28 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.84% likelihood that both Turku PS and FF Jaro will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Turku PS to win
This prediction indicates that Turku PS has a 44.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.57 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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