Union Berlin vs Aris Sunday 09th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin Aris

Union Berlin L D L D W W

Aris L W L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Union Berlin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	FC Aarau	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	FC Winterthur	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	Carl Zeiss Jena	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Chemnitzer FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Optik Rathenow	2 - 12	Win
May 16, 26	Home	FC Augsburg	4 - 0	Win

Aris Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Korona Kielce	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Legia Warszawa	0 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	AEK Larnaca	3 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Apollon Limassol	3 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Pafos	2 - 0	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Apoel Nicosia	1 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.93% likelihood that both Union Berlin and Aris will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Union Berlin to win

This prediction indicates that Union Berlin has a 40.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.82 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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