Universitario vs Millonarios Sunday 12th July 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

Universitario Millonarios

Universitario W D D D L D

Millonarios W L D D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Sport Huancayo	2 - 1	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	UCV Moquegua	0 - 0	Draw
May 20, 26	Away	Club Nacional	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Atletico Grau	0 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Sport Boys	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Depor FC	1 - 8	Win
May 26, 26	Home	O'Higgins	1 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Chico	2 - 2	Draw
May 20, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Patriotas	2 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Llaneros	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
656	Universitario	3	2	0	1	6	3	+3	6
1563	Millonarios	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Universitario has a 43.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.89 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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