Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Valerenga Fredrikstad

Valerenga L D W L W L

Fredrikstad D W D W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fredrikstad	Valerenga	1 - 1	April 12, 2026
Valerenga	Fredrikstad	1 - 1	July 5, 2025
Fredrikstad	Valerenga	2 - 0	April 9, 2025
Valerenga	Fredrikstad	1 - 3	February 16, 2024
Valerenga	Fredrikstad	1 - 0	March 10, 2023

Valerenga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Gais	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Away	IFK Goteborg	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Kristiansund BK	3 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Start	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Sarpsborg 08 FF	3 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Ham-Kam	1 - 0	Loss

Fredrikstad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Ham-Kam	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Start	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Sandefjord	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Ham-Kam	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Sarpsborg 08 FF	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Brann	3 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
41	Fredrikstad	8	5	3	0	17	9	+8	18
49	Valerenga	9	5	2	2	21	13	+8	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.21% likelihood that both Valerenga and Fredrikstad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Score 2 - 2

This prediction indicates that Valerenga will score 2 goals, and Fredrikstad will score 2 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs