Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri Sunday 13th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Úrvalsdeild

Valur Reykjavik

Sept. 13, 2026 5 days, 12 hours from now VS

Thor Akureyri

Match Analysis

Valur Reykjavik Thor Akureyri

Valur Reykjavik W D L D L W

Thor Akureyri W W L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Thor Akureyri	Valur Reykjavik	2 - 4	June 28, 2026
Valur Reykjavik	Thor Akureyri	1 - 2	April 12, 2026

Valur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Keflavik	1 - 2	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	IA Akranes	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 17, 26	Home	KA Akureyri	4 - 4	Draw
Aug 13, 26	Away	FC Nordsjaelland	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Breidablik	1 - 3	Win

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	FH hafnarfjordur	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Stjarnan	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Keflavik	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	IA Akranes	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 4, 26	Home	Breidablik	1 - 0	Win

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Valur Reykjavik	22	8	3	11	38	46	-8	27
10	Thor Akureyri	21	5	3	13	21	50	-29	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.76% likelihood that both Valur Reykjavik and Thor Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Valur Reykjavik to win

This prediction indicates that Valur Reykjavik has a 59.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.89 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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