Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
L
W
D
D
L
W
St. Louis City
D
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | St. Louis City | 3 - 2 | August 24, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0 - 0 | April 20, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 - 4 | July 14, 2024 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | St. Louis City | 4 - 3 | June 30, 2024 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | St. Louis City | 3 - 0 | October 5, 2023 |
| St. Louis City | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 - 1 | May 28, 2023 |
Vancouver Whitecaps Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Los Angeles FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Minnesota United FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | San Diego | 2 - 4 | Win |
St. Louis City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Sporting Kansas City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 2 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 17 | +23 | 37 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 25 | +2 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.12% likelihood that both Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Vancouver Whitecaps to win
This prediction indicates that Vancouver Whitecaps has a 64.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.39 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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