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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Veles Leningradets
Veles W L W W D L
Leningradets W D L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Veles with a 47% probability. Veles are in strong recent form, while Leningradets have poor recent form and have shown defensive struggles, tipping the balance slightly in Veles' favor despite the teams being closely matched overall. However, the model sees the market odds as reflecting less confidence in a Veles win, as the odds imply a lower probability than the model's 47%. The model also suggests it is unlikely both teams will score and that the game will finish with fewer than two goals.

Veles Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Home Rotor Volgograd 2 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Enisey 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Chelyabinsk 1 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away FK Neftekhimik 0 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Ska-khabarovsk 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 2, 26 Home Volga Ulyanovsk 0 - 2 Loss

Leningradets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home PFC Sochi 2 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Ural 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Away Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away FC UFA 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Makhachkala 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Zenit 4 - 0 Loss

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Veles 4 3 0 1 5 5 0 9
14 Leningradets 4 1 1 2 2 6 -4 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Veles to win
This prediction indicates that Veles has a 47.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.93 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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